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2024-12-14 11:23:26

Market News: The Israeli security cabinet said it would hold a meeting on Sunday to discuss the security development in the West Bank.Australia's S&P/ASX200 index opened down 66.80 points, or 0.80%, at 8263.50 points on Friday, December 13th.Guangdian Express: It was confirmed as the transaction supplier of "Guangzhou Intelligent Computing Operation Service Platform (Phase I) Project". Guangdian Express (002152) announced on the evening of December 13th that the company was confirmed as the transaction supplier of "Guangzhou Intelligent Computing Operation Service Platform (Phase I) Project" with a transaction price of 27.5 million yuan. The implementation of this project will help to further deepen the company's capacity building in data infrastructure and computing resource management, and enhance the company's industry influence and technical strength in the field of intelligent computing.


Russia said it had cracked down on Ukrainian troops in many places, saying that the situation on the front line was tense. On the 12th local time, the Russian Defense Ministry reported that in the past day, Russian tactical aviation, missile troops, artillery, etc. had cracked down on the assembly areas of Ukrainian troops' effective forces and equipment and a production workshop of Ukrainian attack drones in 137 areas. In addition, Russian troops also controlled the "Zarija" settlement in Donetsk. According to the circular, the Russian armed forces continued to defeat the Ukrainian armed forces in Kursk, Russia, and regained control of the "New Ivanovka" settlement in Kursk. On the same day, the General Staff of the Ukrainian Armed Forces issued a war report, saying that as of that afternoon, there were 138 battles in the front line, and the situation on the front line remained tense, mainly in Kulahovo, Pokrovsk and Freimut-Fsk areas. The Ukrainian air force, missile units and artillery units destroyed many Russian military personnel assembly areas and control points. In the Kursk region, the Ukrainian army repelled nine Russian attacks.Xie Feng, Ambassador of China to the United States: It is a great country's determination to adapt to changes, and it is China's wisdom to open a new situation in changes. According to the official of the Chinese Embassy in the United States, on December 11, 2024, u.s.-china business council held the 2024 annual celebration dinner in Washington. In his speech, Xie Feng said that China has always grasped the general trend of the world from a long historical period, maintained continuity and stability in its policy toward the United States, and it is the determination of a big country to respond to changes with constancy, and it is China's wisdom to create a new situation in a changing situation. Xie Feng pointed out that the goal of China's commitment to the stable, healthy and sustainable development of Sino-US relations has not changed, which is in line with the common interests of the two countries and the general expectations of the international community; The principle of handling Sino-US relations in accordance with mutual respect, peaceful coexistence and win-win cooperation has not changed, which is the fundamental way for China and the United States to get along correctly in the new era. The position of firmly safeguarding its sovereignty, security and development interests has not changed. This is a principle that China must defend and a red line that cannot be challenged. The desire to continue the traditional friendship between the Chinese and American people has not changed, and we are willing to continue to pave the way for cultural exchanges between the two countries. Xie Feng hopes that the US will move in the same direction as China, strengthen dialogue and communication, and refrain from shouting from a distance; Properly control differences and not engage in conflict and confrontation; Expand mutually beneficial cooperation and do not engage in decoupling and chain breaking; Carry out benign interaction, do not engage in zero-sum game, and strive to achieve a smooth transition and a good start in Sino-US relations.Guotai Junan: It is expected that the lithium price will fluctuate in the bottom range in 2025, and there is a strong opportunity and space for rebound. Guotai Junan Securities recently reported that the lithium price has entered the bottom range by the end of 2024. If the demand maintains the current neutral estimate in 2025, the lithium price will fluctuate in the bottom range. At present, the market is optimistic about the demand in 2025, and the industry supply has slowed down. It is estimated that the price trend of lithium will fluctuate in the bottom range in 2025, in which the stage is affected by seasonal factors and there is a strong rebound opportunity and space. The market expected the trading of lithium plate earlier, that is, when the commodity price bottomed out, the lithium plate already contained the expectation of industrial clearing. When the industry actually enters the stage of supply and clearing, the sector will trade commodity price reversal expectations. From this, we infer that the rise of lithium plate will start before the spot price reverses.


Fang Yi, Chief Strategy Officer of Guotai Junan: The conditions of "transformation cattle" in China stock market are forming four themes, focusing on mergers and acquisitions and self-control. Fang Yi, Chief Analyst of Guotai Junan Strategy, said at the main forum of Guotai Junan 2025 investment strategy that the bottom of China stock market has appeared, and the conditions of "transformation cattle" are forming; The key driving force of the market comes from the decline of risk-free interest rate and the boost of risk preference, and the economic expectation is expected to be revised up in 2025H2; The mid-line of the stock market is expected to get out of the N-rhythm. Theme recommendation: merger and reorganization/self-control/humanoid robot/self-consumption. 1) M&A and reorganization: the regulatory tolerance of cross-border M&A and acquisition of unprofitable assets has been improved, and we are optimistic about the traditional industry leaders who are the main enterprises of science and technology chain and benefit from the optimization of industry structure; 2) Self-control: global science and technology supply chain reconstruction, optimistic about the improvement of localization rate of advanced semiconductors/basic software; 3) Humanoid robot: mass production and application scenario expansion are accelerated, and key components such as dexterous hands/actuators are optimistic; 4) Self-satisfaction consumption: demographic changes have given birth to new consumption patterns, and we are optimistic about the high growth of secondary consumption/pet consumption.Shenzhen Yuejiang Technology Hong Kong IPO seeks to publicly issue 40 million shares, with an offering price range of HK$ 18.80-20.80 per share. It is expected that the stock will be priced on December 19th and trading will begin on December 23rd.China Air China: Passenger turnover increased by 22% year-on-year in November. Air China announced that the combined passenger turnover of the company and its subsidiaries increased by 22% year-on-year in November 2024. Passenger transport capacity investment increased by 12.9% year-on-year, of which domestic passenger transport capacity investment increased by 3.2%, international passenger transport capacity investment increased by 43.7%, and regional passenger transport capacity investment increased by 19%. In terms of freight transportation, the input of freight transportation capacity increased by 18.4% year-on-year, and the turnover of freight and mail increased by 20.9% year-on-year. In November, one ARJ21-700 aircraft and one C919 aircraft were introduced. By the end of November, the total number of operating aircraft was 927.

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